What is the difference between going concern value and liquidation value, and when does each matter?
In CFA equity valuation, I see references to going concern value and liquidation value as different measures of what a company is worth. When would an analyst use liquidation value instead of going concern DCF, and how do you calculate each?
Going concern value and liquidation value represent two fundamentally different assumptions about a company's future.
Going Concern Value:
Assumes the company continues operating indefinitely. Value comes from future cash flows generated by the business as a whole.
V(going concern) = Sum of PV(future FCFs) + PV(terminal value)
Liquidation Value:
Assumes the company ceases operations and sells all assets individually. Value is the net proceeds from asset sales after paying all liabilities.
V(liquidation) = Sum of (Asset realizable values) - Total liabilities - Liquidation costs
Example — Ridgeway Manufacturing:
| Going Concern DCF | Liquidation Analysis |
|---|---|
| PV of 10-year FCFs: $180M | Real estate (appraised): $95M |
| PV of terminal value: $320M | Equipment (auction value): $45M |
| Inventory (at 60% of cost): $30M | |
| Receivables (at 85%): $42M | |
| IP/Patents (estimated): $15M | |
| Total: $500M | Gross: $227M, Less liabilities: $150M, Less costs: $12M |
| Net: $65M |
Ridgeway's going concern value ($500M) far exceeds liquidation value ($65M), so the company should continue operating.
When to Use Liquidation Value:
- Distressed companies: When the firm cannot generate sufficient cash flows to service debt
- Floor valuation: Liquidation value sets a minimum — if going concern value falls below liquidation value, rational owners should liquidate
- Asset-heavy companies: Real estate holding companies or natural resource firms where assets can be sold at predictable prices
- Hostile takeover defense: Target boards may argue the bid understates liquidation value
Types of Liquidation:
- Orderly liquidation: Assets sold over a reasonable period (3-12 months), typically realizes 70-90% of fair market value
- Forced liquidation: Distress sale under time pressure, typically realizes 40-60% of fair market value
CFA Exam Tip: If a vignette gives you a company with going concern value below liquidation value, the logical recommendation is liquidation or asset sale, not continued operations.
Check our CFA equity valuation question bank for practice scenarios.
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