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AcadiFi
SA
second_attempt2026-05-21
cfaLevel IQuantitative MethodsHypothesis Testing

Can a large test statistic fail to reject the null if it is in the wrong direction?

Suppose I have a left-tailed test, but the test statistic is positive and fairly large. Does the magnitude alone let me reject the null?

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AcadiFi Certified Professional

No. Direction matters. In a left-tailed test, the rejection region is in the left tail. A positive statistic is on the opposite side of the distribution, so it does not support a less-than alternative.

Example:

  • H0: mu >= 6%
  • Ha: mu < 6%
  • Left-tail critical value at 5%: -1.645
  • Test statistic: +2.10

Even though 2.10 has a large absolute value, it is not less than -1.645. Fail to reject the null.

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Magnitude is not enough. The statistic must be extreme in the direction specified by the alternative.

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